March 14, 2025

How Do YIMBYs Respond To Housing Markets With *No* Demand? | Newgeography.com

s-emerald-ave-chicago.png

I’ve
had
my
differences
with
the
YIMBY
(Yes
In
My
Back
Yard)
movement.
Over
the
years
I’ve

written


multiple


pieces

raising
a
position
on
zoning
reform
that
rarely
gets
discussed

upzoning
can
open
up
the
floodgates
for
new
housing
in
cities
that

don’t

need
new
housing
in
the
way
that
overpriced
coastal
cities
do,
and
disrupt
a
fragile
housing
market
equilibrium
in
slow-growth,
less
expensive
cities
like
those
in
the
Midwest.
In
fact,
I
raise
the
counterintuitive
argument
that
zoning
reform
in
slow-growth
metros
can
potentially
lead
to
higher
prices
and
rents,
as
developers
seize
on
the
opportunity
to
appeal
to
the
most
affluent
buyers
and
renters.

Just
prior
to
moving
the
Corner
Side
Yard
to
Substack
last
April,
I
wrote
a
five
part
series
offering
dissents
to
the
YIMBY
movement:


Rethinking
the
Affordable
Housing
Crisis,
Part
1


Rethinking
the
Affordable
Housing
Crisis,
Part
2


Rethinking
the
Affordable
Housing
Crisis,
Part
3


Rethinking
the
Affordable
Housing
Crisis,
Part
4


Rethinking
the
Affordable
Housing
Crisis,
Part
5

The
series
probably
didn’t
get
the
attention
it
deserved
because
it
straddled
the
old
platform
and
Substack,
and
my
following
isn’t
necessarily
the
same
as
it
was.
Still,
I
encourage
you
to
read
it.

However,
if
you
don’t
read
it,
here’s
a
very
brief
summary.
In
my
view,
there
are
six
conventional
explanations
for
our
housing
affordability
crisis:

  • The
    post-Great
    Recession
    collapse
    in
    housing
    production;
  • Zoning,
    specifically
    widespread
    single-family
    zoning;
  • High
    interest
    rates,
    low
    inventory;
  • Excessive
    government
    regulation,
    raising
    the
    cost
    of
    housing
    production;
  • Household
    incomes
    haven’t
    kept
    up
    with
    housing
    costs;
    and
  • A
    reliance
    on
    “filtering”
    tcreate
    affordable
    housing.

These
are
indeed
explanations
that
drive
the
efforts
of
YIMBYs.
But
I’d
argue
there
six
less-considered,
yet
equally
important
explanations
as
well:

  • The
    dramatic
    decrease
    in
    average
    household
    size
    in
    the
    last
    60
    years;
  • The
    reluctance
    of
    banks
    tmove
    on
    from
    their
    financial
    models
    that
    favored
    single-family
    home
    development;
  • General
    aversion
    tsubsidized
    housing;
  • General
    aversion
    tthe
    displacement
    caused
    by
    gentrification;
    and
  • A
    growing
    sense
    that
    younger,
    urban-oriented
    people
    “want
    what
    we
    want,
    where
    we
    want
    it,”;
    and
  • Geography.
    There
    simply
    are
    physical
    limits
    to
    construction
    in
    some
    metros,
    and
    they’re
    costly
    to
    overcome.

I
also
referred
to
three
socio-cultural
causes
for
the
housing
crisis:

  • Housing
    exuberance,
    when
    property
    owners
    have
    expectations
    of
    higher
    prices
    and
    rents
    even
    before
    new
    development
    increases
    demand;
  • Segregation,
    in
    the
    sense
    that
    it
    drives
    down
    demand
    in
    portions
    of
    a
    metro
    area
    while
    driving
    up
    demand
    in
    others,
    pushing
    up
    costs;
    and
  • Inventory
    mismatch,
    with
    a
    greater
    demand
    for
    a
    development
    type
    (often
    pre-WWII
    style
    development)
    that’s
    declining
    in
    inventory.

I
concluded
the
last
entry
in
the
series
with
a
comparison
between
Los
Angeles
County
and
Cook
County,
the
home
counties
of
Los
Angeles
and
Chicago,
respectively.

Read
the
rest
of
this
piece
at

The
Corner
Side
Yard
.


Pete
Saunders
is
a
writer
and
researcher
whose
work
focuses
on
urbanism
and
public
policy.
Pete
has
been
the
editor/publisher
of
the
Corner
Side
Yard,
an
urbanist
blog,
since
2012.
Pete
is
also
an
urban
affairs
contributor
to
Forbes
Magazine’s
online
platform.
Pete’s
writings
have
been
published
widely
in
traditional
and
internet
media
outlets,
including
the
feature
article
in
the
December
2018
issue
of
Planning
Magazine.
Pete
has
more
than
twenty
years’
experience
in
planning,
economic
development,
and
community
development,
with
stops
in
the
public,
private
and
non-profit
sectors.
He
lives
in
Chicago.

Photo:
A
street
view
looking
south
of
the
intersection
of
68th
and
Emerald
Avenue
in
Chicago’s
Englewood
neighborhood.
Source:
google.com.

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Author: Pete Saunders